Ellison’s $25 Billion Wealth Crash Tied to Oracle’s AI Spending Fears

Is a missed earnings report sufficient to erase $25 billion from a single wealth portfolio? Well, the answer proved quick and brutal for Larry Ellison. Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison saw a dramatic setback in net worth to $258 billion when Oracle’s stock plummeted more than 11% in a single day, which is one of the largest setbacks in net worth in 2025. The key causal factor in this impact is a less-than-expected earnings report.

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In its latest quarter, Oracle recorded a revenue surge of 14% from a year ago, but this did not beat analysts’ expectations of $16.1 billion, failing by a small margin. Cloud revenue rose by a remarkable 34% to $7.98 billion, with a massive surge of 68% in infrastructure revenue to $4.08 billion in the latest quarter, both of which missed analysts’ expectations. To add insult to analysts’ wounds, this is expected to raise capital expenditures in fiscal 2026 to a staggering $50 billion, up from last year’s $35 billion mainly because most of this will go into setting up data centers for AI jobs.

The increasing incorporation of this company with OpenAI with a clouding deal of $300 billion has kicked off this company in the competition of AI infrastructure but have also entwined this company’s fate with the future performance of the producer of ChatGPT. There have also been reports of a leading technology company named Google taking a leading edge over OpenAI. A warning has also come up in regards to “circular” investments in AI by tech companies.

Debt is another topic of contention. The total long-term debt of Oracle has increased to $106 billion, and the cost of credit protection against a default in this debt rose to an intensity not recorded since 2009. The credit default swap price for stocks of Oracle jumped by an enormous 12 basis points within a short span of time, and this depicts a sense of unease with the speed and capital structure of investment in this expansion. The company experienced a cash deficit of $10 billion in the first half of the fiscal year, with negative cash flows in the most recent quarter.

“We expect we will need less, if not substantially less, money raised than that,” commented a co-CEO at Oracle, Clay Magourk, in an attempt to placate investors when referring to an estimated $100 billion level of spending seen by some analysts. The main financial officer, Doug Kehring, attempted to placate investors when he noted that most capital spending went towards revenue-producing assets and not real estate.

The impact of the subsequent sale of Oracle shares trickled down to the whole technology sector. AI-linked stocks such as Nvidia, AMD, Micron, Broadcom, and Arm Holdings were down 3.1% to 4.2%, which pushed the Nasdaq to a one-week low. The market response highlights how non-performance in financial results of large-cap technology companies can spill over into the market, especially when such companies trade at a higher multiple because of a particular trend such as AI. At least 13 brokers cut their price targets for Oracle stock in light of such performance.

Ellison’s downfall can be traced to a tumultuous year for tech tycoons. Elon Musk lost $35 billion in a span of just three days in April, and Mark Zuckerberg lost around $24 billion in fear of a recession triggered by tariffs. Such extremes seem less significant than they appear. As highlighted in a previous article in this year, Ellison temporarily topped the charts in becoming the richest man in the light of a 43% jump in Oracle stock driven by optimism in cloud business.

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